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Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 38 of CLW's earnings calls (2016–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
C+
Q3 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
38
2016–2025
Avg Candor
7.1/9
evasion 2.4/9
Guidance LoweredHigh CandorSkeptic ReassuredCritic AmmunitionUnderused Fixed CostsPricing Under PressureMargins ContractingDemand Accelerating

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-04-29 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of CLW's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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C+ Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-11-04 move ±17.2%

Management lowered guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: flat 1 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 8/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
YES Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-08-06 move ±28.2%

Management raised guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 1 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-04-29 move ±15.4%

Management held guidance steady against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 1 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-02-21 move ±14.4%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: under pressureCapex: flat 1 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up aheadDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-10-31 move ±8.9%

Management raised guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: under pressureCapex: flat 2 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B+ Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-01 move ±20.6%

Management raised guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: under pressureCapex: flat 1 analysts · 7 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts
Candor 8/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q1 2023 earnings call 2023-05-02 move ±22.4%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingBacklog: shrinkingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 1 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q4 2022 2023-02-14 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2022 2022-10-31 B+ raisedstablecontracting 8/9 2/9
Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B raisedstablecontracting 6/9 3/9
Q1 2022 2022-04-30 B+ raisedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2021 2022-02-15 B maintainedmixedcontracting 8/9 1/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-02 B maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-07 B maintainedmixedcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-09 D loweredmixedcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-27 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-08 C+ maintainedslowingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-03 C loweredslowingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-06 C+ withdrawnmixedexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q1 2020 2020-05-05 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q4 2019 2020-02-26 D maintainedmixedexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2019 2019-10-24 C maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 3/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-01 B maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 2/9
Q1 2019 2019-05-01 C maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2018 2019-03-12 D maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2018 2018-11-10 C loweredstableexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-01 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2018 2018-04-19 F loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2017 2018-02-05 D nonemixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2017 2017-10-19 D maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-02 C loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q1 2017 2017-04-20 C maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 2/9
Q4 2016 2017-02-08 B maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q3 2016 2016-10-20 C+ loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 1/9
Q2 2016 2016-07-21 C loweredmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2016 2016-04-28 B maintainedstablemixed 7/9 1/9
Q4 2015 2016-02-10 B maintainedstablestable 7/9 2/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of CLW's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

D Q4 2017 earnings call 2018-02-05

B Q1 2016 earnings call 2016-04-28

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.